Regression Analysis of the Effect of Exports and Imports on Indonesia's Economic Growth in PerspectiveMaqāṣid al-Syarī‘ah
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29240/alfalah.v11i1.16928Keywords:
Exports, Importance, Maqasid al-Sharia, EconomyAbstract
This study aims to analyze the influence of exports and imports on Indonesia's economic growth and examine the results from a global perspective. maqāṣid al-syarī‘ah. The study used a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression methods based on time series data for the 2016–2025 period obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The analysis was conducted using EViews 12 through t-tests, F-tests, and coefficients of determination (R²). The results of the study indicate that partially exports and imports do not have a significant effect on economic growth. The export variable has a negative coefficient, as does imports with a negative coefficient, but simultaneously they do not have a significant effect, with a relatively low model ability to explain variations in economic growth. In the perspective maqāṣid al-syarī‘ah, this finding shows that international trade has not fully contributed to achieving prosperity (falah), justice (‘adl), and balance (humility). Therefore, policies are needed that are oriented towards increasing the added value of exports, controlling productive imports, and strengthening the domestic sector in order to realize equitable and sustainable economic growth.
Downloads
References
Aini, Ichallista Dyah. “Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional Dan Utang Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Yunani, Portugal, Spanyol.” Dinamika Ekonomi, March 28, 2025, 129–34. https://doi.org/10.29313/jde.v16i1.4147.
Dahiri, Dahiri. “Analisis Nilai Tambah Komoditas Unggulan Subsektor Perkebunan.” Jurnal Budget : Isu Dan Masalah Keuangan Negara 7, no. 1 (2022). https://doi.org/10.22212/jbudget.v7i1.122.
Delila Kumalasari. “Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dalam Pandangan Ekonomi Islam.” Holistik Analisis Nexus 1, no. 7 (July 7, 2024): 162–69. https://doi.org/10.62504/nexus767.
Dona Pertiwi, Tanza, Sri Herianingrum, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, and Universitas Airlangga. “Menggali Konsep Maqashid Syariah: Perspektif Pemikiran Tokoh Islam.” Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam 10, no. 1 (March 16, 2024): 807–20. https://doi.org/10.29040/JIEI.V10I1.12386.
Dutu, Richard. “Why Has Economic Growth Slowed down in Indonesia ? An Investigation into the Indonesian Business Cycle Using an Estimated DSGE Model $” 45 (2016): 46–55.
Eva Yuniarti Utami, Syahidin, Masri Ramadhan, Ramiati, Heri Setiawan. “Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia.” Jurnal Portofolio : Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis 3, no. 3 (June 13, 2024): 290–96. https://doi.org/10.70704/jpjmb.v3i3.303.
Hao, Guozu, Jingjing Wang, Xinfa Tang, Bin Xiao, and Musa Dirane Nubea. “Structural Transformation and Decoupling Strategies in a Carbon-Intensive Catch-Up Economy,” 2026, 1–17.
Hodijah, Siti, and Grace Patricia Angelina. “Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia.” Jurnal Manajemen Terapan Dan Keuangan 10, no. 01 (April 28, 2021): 53–62. https://doi.org/10.22437/jmk.v10i01.12512.
Jaenudin, M, Emil Haraki, and Aam Slamet Rusydiana. “An Empirical Analysis of Cooperation Among Muslim Countries : The Case of Indonesia-Pakistan Preferential Trade Agreement An Empirical Analysis of Cooperation Among Muslim Countries : The Case of Indonesia-Pakistan Preferential Trade Agreement” 39, no. 1 (2026).
Jumawan, Jumawan, and Andhika Rifki Prasetyo. “Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia.” Jurnal Portofolio : Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis 3, no. 3 (June 13, 2024): 290–96. https://doi.org/10.70704/jpjmb.v3i3.303.
Khoirul Thoha, Ahmad, and Wenny Restikasari. “Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Periode 2014-2023.” Independent: Journal of Economics 4, no. 3 (December 31, 2024): 40–48. https://doi.org/10.26740/independent.v4i3.65185.
Kim, Wonseong, and Jinhyoung Kim. “Measurement for Media Sensitive-Trade Nexus : Case for U . S . -China-South Korea Trilateral Relationship” 28, no. 1 (2025): 24–48.
Laili, Nur. “Analisis Daya Saing Dan Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Produk Alas Kaki Indonesia Ke Amerika Serikat Ditinjau Dalam Perspektif Ekonomi Islam.” Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam 7, no. 2 (July 1, 2021): 1019–29. https://doi.org/10.29040/jiei.v7i2.2385.
Mega Utami, Adinda, Amelia Putri Bajri, Elyan Adistia Putri, Muhammad Yoshi Luki, and Muhamad Syahwildan. “Analisis Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional (Ekspor Dan Impor) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia.” Neraca Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen Dan Akuntansi 735, no. 4 (June 7, 2025): 735–40. https://doi.org/10.51622/JBM.V3I1.2762.
———. “Neraca Analisis Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional (Ekspor Dan Impor) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia.” Neraca Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen Dan Akuntansi 735, no. 4 (June 7, 2025): 735–40. https://doi.org/10.51622/JBM.V3I1.2762.
Muhammad Mattori, and Rusdiana. “Konsep Maqasid Syariah Jasser Auda Melalui Pendekatan Sistem.” SETYAKI : Jurnal Studi Keagamaan Islam 1, no. 3 (August 25, 2023): 112–25. https://doi.org/10.59966/setyaki.v1i3.872.
Ngatikoh, Siti, and Akhmad Faqih. “Kebijakan Ekspor Impor: Strategi Meningkatkan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia.” LABATILA: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Islam 4, no. 2 (2020): 167–90. https://doi.org/10.33507/lab.v4i01.
Nirwanto, Andry, Dian Anggraeni, and Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin Makassar. “Konsep Jual Beli Online Dalam Perspektif Filsafat Islam Dan Hukum Indonesia: Analisis Nilai-Nilai Kejujuran, Keadilan, Dan Kemaslahatan Dalam Transaksi Jual Beli.” Al-Istinbath : Jurnal Ilmu Hukum Dan Hukum Keluarga Islam 2, no. 3 (July 1, 2025): 287–98. https://doi.org/10.71242/PEZ7MS75.
Putra Prameswari, Yoga, and dan Hendra Try Ardianto. “Kuasa Pengetahuan Dalam Rantai Nilai Industri Mebel Di Jepara.” Politika: Jurnal Ilmu Politik 14, no. 1 (April 30, 2023): 123–40. https://doi.org/10.14710/POLITIKA.14.1.2023.123-140.
Rachel, Nehemia, Malfa Hanifa, Maria Arista Mogi, Seftya Dwiwayan Putri, and Shakila Salsabila. “Analisis Dampak Kenaikan Tarif Impor Amerika Serikat Terhadap Ekspor Industri Tekstil Di Indonesia.” JURNAL AKADEMIK EKONOMI DAN MANAJEMEN 2, no. 2 (June 4, 2025): 239–56. https://doi.org/10.61722/JAEM.V2I2.4930.
Ria Wahyuni, Saarah Olinda Putri, Soni Aldi, and Muhammad Kurniawan. “Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia Periode 2014-2023.” MUQADDIMAH: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Dan Bisnis 2, no. 3 (2024): 109–21. https://doi.org/10.59246/muqaddimah.v2i3.903.
Rofik, Mochamad. “Revisiting the Impact of Islamic Fi Nance on Economic Growth : A Decomposition Analysis Using Indonesia as a Testing Ground,” 2025. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMEFM-06-2024-0288.
Salbiyah, Mila, Fadila Siti Nuraeni, Kylla Almira, Rahma Fadzillah, Yulandasari Lajai Mandam, Fakultas Manajemen, Dan Ekonomi, Universitas Bisnis, Kota Muhammadiyah Bandung, and Indonesia Bandung. “Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia (Studi Kasus Tahun 2020-2024).” Ekopedia: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi 2, no. 1 (January 31, 2026): 2817–28. https://doi.org/10.63822/CJ4EHQ70.
Sari, Ulfa, Rohana Rohana, Nur Hikmah, and Masyhuri Masyhuri. “Makna Harta Sebagai Nilai Ekonomi Dan Amanah: Analisis Konseptual Dalam Akuntansi Syariah.” Journal of Economic and Business Advancement 1, no. 2 (December 12, 2025): 233–42. https://doi.org/10.65310/550PW382.
Septianingrum, Dwi, Hendestri Br Sembiring, M. Faisal Haririe, Sawaluddin Harahap, and Fitri Hayati. “Konsep Pemikiran Ekonomi Ibnu Khaldun Dan Keterkaitannya Dengan Teori Ekonomi Masa Kini (Studi Analisis Konsep Ekonomi Dalam Kitab Muqaddimah).” JURNAL AKADEMIK EKONOMI DAN MANAJEMEN 2, no. 2 (June 12, 2025): 562–76. https://doi.org/10.61722/JAEM.V2I2.5114.
Susilawati, S, MG Wibowo - Jurnal Magister Ekonomi Syariah, and undefined 2025. “The Effect of Inflation, Government Spending and Exports on Economic Growth in IndonesiaNANo Ranking Found for ‘Jurnal Magister Ekonomi Syariah.’” Ejournal.Uin-Suka.Ac.Id 3, no. 2 Desember (April 30, 2025): 36–53. https://doi.org/10.14421/JMES.2024.032-03.
Tri Cahyani, Putri, Chaerul Shaleh, Fauzan Ali Rasyid, and Uin Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung. “Kontribusi Politik Ekonomi Pertanian Dalam Penyediaan Bahan Baku Halal Di Indonesia.” Al-Muzdahir : Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah 7, no. 1 (January 1, 2025): 111–25. https://doi.org/10.55352/EKIS.V7I1.1497.
Widiaty, Eny, and Anton Priyo Nugroho. “Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Perspektif Ekonomi Islam: Peran Inflasi, Pengeluaran Pemerintah, Hutang Luar Negeri Dan Pembiayaan Syariah.” Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam 6, no. 2 (June 29, 2020): 223. https://doi.org/10.29040/jiei.v6i2.1043.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Citation Check
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Hendrianto Hendrianto
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with Al-FALAH : Journal of Islamic Economics agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a CC BY-SA 4.0 Deed | Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International | Creative Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
This work is licensed under a 